Inflation rate slows further to 4% in July

MANILA – Inflation eased further in July to its lowest level in seven months, mainly due to the slower transport price movement, according to the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA).

The state statistics bureau added that the consumer price index rose four percent in July, compared to the 4.1 percent inflation in June.

The July inflation is within the top band of the government’s two to four percent target range and within the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) forecast of 3.9 to 4.7 percent.

However, July’s inflation rate is below some analysts’ expectations. Economist Jun Neri said airfares contributed to the downward rate but, prices of other necessities remain elevated.

“What people really consume, if we exclude those things that we don’t really consume much of anyway, prices remain elevated, and that affects the decisions of borrowers and savers,” Neri told ANC.

In a statement, BSP governor Benjamin Diokno said non-monetary measures meant to ease supply constraints are crucial in tempering inflation pressures.

“The latest outturn is consistent with the BSP’s assessment that inflation could settle close to the high end of the target range of 2.0 to 4.0 percent over the near term before decelerating back to within the target by the end of the year as the impact of government supply-side measures takes effect,” he added.

The central bank chief stressed that inflation is expected to “remain firmly” within the midpoint of the target range of two to four percent for 2022 to 2023.

The outlook, moving forward, remained broadly balanced, but the new coronavirus disease 2019 Delta variant, as well as restrictions to curb its spread, could pose downside risks to demand and inflation, he explained.

“On the other hand, the emergence of new coronavirus variants and delays in easing lockdown measures are seen to pose downside risks to both demand and inflation,” Diokno added.(ABS-CBN News)

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